Night 4

Awoooooooooooooooooo
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dferrantino
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Night 4

Postby dferrantino » 24 Feb 2016, 19:23:51

2 more days to victory. Can you keep it up?

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Re: Night 4

Postby Okaros » 24 Feb 2016, 19:24:07

I believe you overlooked blindsniper's missing vote, sir.
I kind of assume Okaros is out to backstab me until proven otherwise. - DOM

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Re: Night 4

Postby Okaros » 24 Feb 2016, 19:26:40

And since we didn't kill the seer last night, we have a problem.

And I have a very strong suspicion that it's Omega. That save does *not* feel random at all.

So, I suggest we default to Maul: Omega->Ravebomb unless further evidence presents itself.
I kind of assume Okaros is out to backstab me until proven otherwise. - DOM

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Re: Night 4

Postby dferrantino » 24 Feb 2016, 19:30:33

Okaros wrote:I believe you overlooked blindsniper's missing vote, sir.

Thank you.

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Re: Night 4

Postby Mister E. Meat » 25 Feb 2016, 09:01:25

So San is almost assuredly not the seer given that he's gone after Rave again today. That leaves the following humans:

RaveBomb
Visigoth
Omega
Gungnir888
blindsniper83
rekard
San - unlikely

Cases for or against on any of them? I'm wondering if this is coded from Visi:
Visigoth wrote:Thought about voting on RaveBomb to really push him ahead to see if any interesting votes come out of it, but at this point he feels kind of humanish so all I'd likely be doing would providing nice cover for wolves to dump votes on RaveBomb and others without having any of them at risk.

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Re: Night 4

Postby Okaros » 25 Feb 2016, 09:04:13

My case for Omega is above. You have a good point about Visi though. Hrrrm.
I kind of assume Okaros is out to backstab me until proven otherwise. - DOM

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Re: Night 4

Postby Okaros » 25 Feb 2016, 11:23:50

I kind of wonder about how optimal it is to out yourself as the seer prior to Lynch-or-Lose, with no GA protection available, in order to save a known human rather than damn a known wolf. That seems like a net loss since you're probably trading one fewer seer vision for one confirmed human.
I kind of assume Okaros is out to backstab me until proven otherwise. - DOM

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Re: Night 4

Postby dferrantino » 25 Feb 2016, 11:53:43

Okaros wrote:I kind of wonder about how optimal it is to out yourself as the seer prior to Lynch-or-Lose, with no GA protection available, in order to save a known human rather than damn a known wolf. That seems like a net loss since you're probably trading one fewer seer vision for one confirmed human.

Ozy used to write treatises on this kind of stuff.

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Re: Night 4

Postby Okaros » 25 Feb 2016, 12:20:11

Whelp. My guess about Omega being the seer is correct. Sadly, I was a priority target for him. Go figure. :flail:
I kind of assume Okaros is out to backstab me until proven otherwise. - DOM

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Re: Night 4

Postby Okaros » 25 Feb 2016, 12:28:53

Now, do I try and counter-claim or not... choices, choices...
I kind of assume Okaros is out to backstab me until proven otherwise. - DOM

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Re: Night 4

Postby Mister E. Meat » 25 Feb 2016, 12:29:22

I think you should. Hell, I just set you up for it and that was before I came in here.

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Re: Night 4

Postby Okaros » 25 Feb 2016, 12:51:37

I suppose it helps that I've been leaving behind incredibly obtuse seer hints all game long while Omega's been dead silent. :)


Edit: We also haven't had a proper counter-claim in ages, so this should be interesting.
I kind of assume Okaros is out to backstab me until proven otherwise. - DOM

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Re: Night 4

Postby Okaros » 25 Feb 2016, 13:19:36

Man, knowing that I'm caught makes it *hard* not to drop sly threats and comments in my narrative.


Edit: Ahahahahah, thank you Rave. Your reward for supporting me is death tonight if Omega gets lynched. :twisted:
Edit2: And Gungnir too? Definitely keeping the Reddington avatar if I pull this off, heh.
Edit3: rekard was never going to fall for this, ever. So that's expected. :) I'm glad he's completely off-base as far as who the other wolves are though. I wonder how many meta-levels people will take the analysis after I'm dead? Would I *really* hand out of a list of all-humans? What if my list was all wolves?
I kind of assume Okaros is out to backstab me until proven otherwise. - DOM

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Re: Night 4

Postby Okaros » 25 Feb 2016, 15:58:07

Heads-up dferr, in case you're using my vote tallies to sanity-check: I'm going to start tampering with my vote tally near EOD.
I kind of assume Okaros is out to backstab me until proven otherwise. - DOM

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Re: Night 4

Postby Clearasday » 25 Feb 2016, 16:00:29

Good play, I love it. Ignore me if you think its bad but I think maybe a post or two more looking really desperate. Seers don't let themselves get lynched without drowning the board in 'I told you so' and 'you idiots'. Go to town on the appeals to emotion I'd say and you might sway Rave and San, they're the deciding votes. Human Clear totally believes the person that screams about the injustice the most.

You're right that you'll never convince rekard to your side though
THERE IS NO JUSTICE, THERE IS JUST CLEARASDAY.

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Re: Night 4

Postby Okaros » 25 Feb 2016, 16:41:31

This is so beautiful. About the best I could hope for personally now is for blind to vote on Omega and then spheno to no-show, or for spheno to vote for Omega and blind to no-show, but both of those are sucky results in the general sense because it involves someone no-showing. And I don't know how I feel about spheno voting for Omega in this situation. He's probably got the best excuse out of any of us for it, but it's still an icky voting position to be in.

Most likely it'll just come down to a coinflip. Which I didn't expect to come anywhere close to when Omega revealed. :twisted:
I kind of assume Okaros is out to backstab me until proven otherwise. - DOM

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Re: Night 4

Postby sphenodont » 25 Feb 2016, 16:41:56

Hrm. I suppose I could be blatant and vote Omega, or I could do the smart thing and vote for Okaros.

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Re: Night 4

Postby Mister E. Meat » 25 Feb 2016, 16:45:40

This is frigging awesome, although to be honest, it doesn't really gain us anything. Even if we lynch Omega instead of mauling him tonight, we're still in mathematically the same place.

By the way, maul Omega -> Ravebomb. If someone can be around for a backup on the off chance he does lynched, that would be ideal.

The big worry right now is as he said, that we don't have perfect info since he could have seen anyone else here and is looking to see who allies with whom. Good play Omega! :slow_clap:


Edit: Added conditional as per Okaros' request.
Last edited by Mister E. Meat on 25 Feb 2016, 17:49:48, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: Night 4

Postby sphenodont » 25 Feb 2016, 16:47:04

Well, seeing as how I've stumbled into this game, I can at least buy you guys some room by voting Omega and going for the blatant wolf save.

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Re: Night 4

Postby Okaros » 25 Feb 2016, 17:02:37

Barring you, spheno, I don't think anyone with even the tiniest shred of doubt would switch sides at this point. Nobody will want to be the person that broke the coin flip and accidentally saved a wolf.

MEM, can you update your maul with a conditional in case Omega eats the lynch? Or let me snipe it in at EOD after Omega reveals?
I kind of assume Okaros is out to backstab me until proven otherwise. - DOM

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Re: Night 4

Postby Clearasday » 25 Feb 2016, 17:04:09

Night guys, good luck. Hope I haven't overdone it prodding Omega.
THERE IS NO JUSTICE, THERE IS JUST CLEARASDAY.

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Re: Night 4

Postby Okaros » 25 Feb 2016, 18:54:07

Really, the lesson from today ought to be:

Image
I kind of assume Okaros is out to backstab me until proven otherwise. - DOM

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Re: Night 4

Postby Okaros » 25 Feb 2016, 19:00:29

Seriously, Omega? SERIOUSLY?

*sigh*

That is insane.
I kind of assume Okaros is out to backstab me until proven otherwise. - DOM

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Re: Night 4

Postby Okaros » 25 Feb 2016, 19:00:57

Well spheno, good luck!
I kind of assume Okaros is out to backstab me until proven otherwise. - DOM


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