Ozy's Best Guesses

User avatar
Ozymandias
Post Nympho
Post Nympho
Posts: 5770
Joined: 28 Jul 2013, 20:28:13
TWG 1 Posts: 0
Location: Pasadena, CA

Ozy's Best Guesses

Postby Ozymandias » 10 Oct 2013, 16:01:07

Here are my best guess team affiliations of the 10 remaining non-Cardassians--

ROMULANS (3?): Ryvvn, MEM (W), Augie, DOM, Okaros

KLINGONS (3?): Admetus (W), Wasabi, Griffypoo, Furin, CAD

FEDERATION (3?): Rictus (W), San, sphenodont, dferrantino, Visigoth

OTHER (1?): RaveBomb, Meta4, twdog, Hellheart

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

EDIT:

I. Romulan suspects (most to least likely)

Okaros (D2 attempted snipe switch from Ryvvn to Wasabi; D2 1st vote for Ryvvn)
DOM (D2 5th vote for Wasabi, D2 Ryvvn switch from MEM to rekard to tie rekard with DOM)
spheno (Ryvvn lynched because he was short a teammate?)
Visigoth (D2 2nd vote for Wasabi, D3 MEM 3rd vote on Rictus)
dferrantino (D2 4th vote for rekard)
Hellheart (D2 early vote stayed on DOM even though online later)
Griffypoo (D2 vote stayed on Visigoth)
CAD (D2 5th vote for Ryvvn, switched from 2nd vote for DOM)
Furin (D2 6th vote for Ryvvn)
Augie (probably has a weapon)


II. Klingon suspects (most to least likely)

Furin (D1 2nd vote on Stigmata, D2 6th vote on Ryvvn)
CAD (D1 Admetus lynch trouble --> short a teammate?, D2 5th vote for Ryyvn, D3 Wasabi 4th vote on Visi, D4 Wasabi 2nd vote on Augie)
Griffypoo (D1 4th vote on Stigmata, ninja switch from Mortus to Stigmata, D2 did not switch)
Hellheart (D1 3rd vote on Stigmata, D2 did not switch)
dferrantino (D1 2nd vote on Ozy after Wasabi + did not switch, D3 4th vote on rekard + did not switch)
Okaros (D1 did not switch off Rekard, D2 1st vote on Ryvvn --> fake switch?)
sphenodont
DOM (D1 did not switch off Hellheart, D2 4th vote on Wasabi)
Visigoth (D1 did not switch off Griffy / D2 2nd vote on Wasabi / D3 Admetus non-switch / D3 Klingon LC target)
Augie (D5 Killed Wasabi)


III. Federation suspects (most to least likely)

dferrantino (D1 2nd vote on Ozy, D3 4th vote on Ozy, but did not switch)
Visigoth (D3 2nd vote on Ozy, but neither switched, Federation suggests alternate)
Hellheart (D1 3rd vote on stigmata, D3 2nd vote on Rictus --> expecting San to cancel lynch?)
Furin (D1 2nd vote on Stigmata, D3 1st vote on Ozy)
spheno (D3 3rd vote on Visigoth --> no other Fed vote on Vis)
Okaros (D3 3rd vote on Ozy, but did not switch)
CAD (D3 throwaway vote on Blind, D3 vote by Rictus)
DOM (D3 1st vote on Rictus)
Griffypoo (D1 4th vote on stigmata, D3 5th vote on Rictus)
Augie (probably has a weapon)
Last edited by Ozymandias on 16 Oct 2013, 18:09:24, edited 53 times in total.

User avatar
rekard
Post Nympho
Post Nympho
Posts: 6323
Joined: 25 Jul 2013, 15:27:18

Re: Ozy's Best Guesses

Postby rekard » 10 Oct 2013, 18:12:41

The Klingon just posted a rather detailed post about Visigoth. Sounds like Admetus to go a bit farfetched to that degree of theory.

I wonder though if we "defended" Visigoth in the Council and cause someone to kill him thinking he is Cardassian.

User avatar
Ozymandias
Post Nympho
Post Nympho
Posts: 5770
Joined: 28 Jul 2013, 20:28:13
TWG 1 Posts: 0
Location: Pasadena, CA

Re: Ozy's Best Guesses

Postby Ozymandias » 10 Oct 2013, 18:17:06

rekard wrote:The Klingon just posted a rather detailed post about Visigoth. Sounds like Admetus to go a bit farfetched to that degree of theory.

Last Klingon post also sounded a bit like Hellheart.

rekard wrote:I wonder though if we "defended" Visigoth in the Council and cause someone to kill him thinking he is Cardassian.

That's not a bad idea, but it might backfire and causes the Klingons to switch off of him-- perhaps wait until later in Day 3?

Alternatively, we can attack Rictus, which will make it look like we're defending Visigoth, and might also make players think that MEM is a Cardassian.

User avatar
Ozymandias
Post Nympho
Post Nympho
Posts: 5770
Joined: 28 Jul 2013, 20:28:13
TWG 1 Posts: 0
Location: Pasadena, CA

Re: Ozy's Best Guesses

Postby Ozymandias » 11 Oct 2013, 17:13:57

Really glad you guys can resurrect me if I die tonight-- I feel like I'm just two or three confirmed deaths away from figuring out most players' factions.

User avatar
Mortus
Post Harlot
Post Harlot
Posts: 2727
Joined: 29 Jul 2013, 14:25:27
TWG 1 Posts: 0
Location: EST

Re: Ozy's Best Guesses

Postby Mortus » 11 Oct 2013, 18:02:33

Bad news bro. I'm about to change your guesses. ;)

Admetus is a Klingon with a defensive power.

User avatar
Ozymandias
Post Nympho
Post Nympho
Posts: 5770
Joined: 28 Jul 2013, 20:28:13
TWG 1 Posts: 0
Location: Pasadena, CA

Re: Ozy's Best Guesses

Postby Ozymandias » 11 Oct 2013, 18:05:21

Mortus wrote:Bad news bro. I'm about to change your guesses. ;)

Admetus is a Klingon with a defensive power.

That's okay! Klingons and Fed teams can switch names.

I was just trying to group the players that seemed most aligned with one another.

User avatar
rekard
Post Nympho
Post Nympho
Posts: 6323
Joined: 25 Jul 2013, 15:27:18

Re: Ozy's Best Guesses

Postby rekard » 11 Oct 2013, 18:13:54

Hah! I called it on Admetus. He probably is the spokesperson too? Wouldn't surprise me if he was with Hellheart.

Feels cool getting a guess right.

User avatar
Ozymandias
Post Nympho
Post Nympho
Posts: 5770
Joined: 28 Jul 2013, 20:28:13
TWG 1 Posts: 0
Location: Pasadena, CA

Re: Ozy's Best Guesses

Postby Ozymandias » 14 Oct 2013, 10:17:52

Bandwagon Analysis

Day 1 Final Lynch
Admetus - 5 - Ryvvn, Rictus, BlindSniper83, Ozymandias, rekard
stigmata - 5 - AugenVonSauron, FurinMirado, Hellheart, Griffypoo, Admetus
Ozymandias - 2 - Wasabi, dferrantino
San - 2 - Stigmata, Mister E. Meat, Ozy
Griffypoo - 1 - Visigoth
Hellheart - 1 - DastardlyOldMan
Meta4 - 1 - San
RaveBomb - 1 - Meta4
rekard - 1 - Okaros
Wasabi - 1 - Mortus
Okaros - 0 - rekard
Rictus - 0 - Admetus
Mortus - 0 - Griffy

Did Not Vote - 4 - CAD, Rave, twdog, spheno


Day 2 Final Lynch
Ryvvn - 8 - Okaros, rekard, Wasabi, Mortus, Clearasday, FurinMirado, Rictus, stigmata
Wasabi - 6 - Mister E. Meat, Visigoth, stigmata, BlindSniper83, DastardlyOldMan, Ryvvn, Admetus
rekard - 2 - Ademtus, AugenVonSauron, Ryvvn, dferrantino
AugenVonSauron - 1 - San
BlindSniper83 - 1 - twdog
DastardlyOldMan - 1 - rekard, CAD, Hellheart
Hellheart - 1 - Meta4
Visigoth - 1 - Griffypoo
MEM - 0 - Ryvvn

Did Not Vote - 1 - sphenodont

Could Not Vote - 1 - Ozymandias


Day 3 Final Lynch
Rictus - 6 - DastardlyOldMan, Hellheart, Mister E. Meat, Blindsniper83, Griffypoo, Mortus
Visigoth - 5 - Ozymandias, twdog, sphenodont, Wasabi, rekard
Clearasday - 4 - AugenVonSauron, stigmata, Rictus, San
Ozymandias - 4 - FurinMirado, Visigoth, Okaros, dferrantino
AugenVonSauron - 1 - Blindsniper, Clearasday
Mister E. Meat - 1 - Admetus
Wasabi - 0 - Ozy
dferrantino - 0 - rekard
Okaros - 0 - Mortus


Day 4 Final Lynch
AugenVonSauron - 3 - Clearasday, Wasabi, Hellheart
rekard - 3 - Mortus, Ozymandias, rekard
FurinMirado - 2 - Ryvvn, Okaros
Mortus - 2 - Visigoth, AugenVonSauron
Clearasday - 1 - rekard, stigmata, Hellheart

Did Not Vote - 7 - DastardlyOldMan, dferrantino, FurinMirado, Griffypoo, Mister E. Meat, sphenodont, twdog

Could Not Vote - 1 - Blindsniper


Day 5 Final Lynch
Griffy - 5 - Okaros, AVS, Mortus, spheno, DOM
DOM - 4 - rekard, Visi, Hell, dferr
Furin - 2 - Blind, Ozy
Blind - 2 - Furin, Ryvvn
Mortus - 0 - DOM

Did Not Vote - 1 - Griffy

Could Not Vote - 1 - CAD
Last edited by Ozymandias on 14 Oct 2013, 17:10:09, edited 1 time in total.

User avatar
Ozymandias
Post Nympho
Post Nympho
Posts: 5770
Joined: 28 Jul 2013, 20:28:13
TWG 1 Posts: 0
Location: Pasadena, CA

Re: Ozy's Best Guesses

Postby Ozymandias » 14 Oct 2013, 17:05:54

Very interesting that the Klingon Chancellor did not post on the same day that CAD was unable to post at all.

User avatar
Blindsniper83
Post Whore
Post Whore
Posts: 923
Joined: 26 Jul 2013, 10:32:39
TWG 1 Posts: 0
Location: London Ontario

Re: Ozy's Best Guesses

Postby Blindsniper83 » 14 Oct 2013, 17:14:06

I dunno if my swap will work pm went in at 800 bloody cell phones
RaveBomb making a lot of sense is how you know you're past the point of no return and that death is the only escape.

User avatar
Ozymandias
Post Nympho
Post Nympho
Posts: 5770
Joined: 28 Jul 2013, 20:28:13
TWG 1 Posts: 0
Location: Pasadena, CA

Re: Ozy's Best Guesses

Postby Ozymandias » 14 Oct 2013, 17:15:29

Blindsniper83 wrote:I dunno if my swap will work pm went in at 800 bloody cell phones

That might be for the best (sorry Stigmata!).

What exactly did you request?

User avatar
Ozymandias
Post Nympho
Post Nympho
Posts: 5770
Joined: 28 Jul 2013, 20:28:13
TWG 1 Posts: 0
Location: Pasadena, CA

Re: Ozy's Best Guesses

Postby Ozymandias » 16 Oct 2013, 18:27:09

I guess you're all permanently dead now :( , so let me just say ...

Great game stigmata & blindsniper & Mortus!

... before Omega locks the thread.


Return to “Cardassia Prime”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest