Summary at the bottom.
In light of Smirker's revelation about his forum, I think it's time to info dump. I've been composing this during the afternoon, and I wanted to put it out there but I was also hoping to get a bit more discussion on my early vote of Smirker for lynch. Nobody has even bothered... obviously I'm not a master-schemer.
1) Thank you Hellheart for today’s post… you laid it out simple style how the wolves probably spread out across the 3 choices for destinations. Given between ICB / Stigmata / Rictus, I believe Stigmata is the wolf.
2) Antipater, I think you are a strong human, based on your votes and the vig shot.
So there were 10 of us at the beginning of the day. Worst case, 4 replicants and 6 humans. Shooting a human wouldn’t result in an automatic win. Hellheart was up for lynch last night, and it was possible that he was going to be lynched again today. I think a wolf Vig would have shot later in the day, perhaps to influence the lynch by removing a vote. Or failing that, they would have shot a confirmed human and not someone controversial like Hellheart. And they certainly would have told FurinMirado about it in the wolf forum.
My personal feelings on “vig kills a human, therefore must be human” is well know, but in this case I reluctantly agree, even in a conversion game. The timing and the target are all wrong for a wolf-vig.
You’re a wolf. I laid out my case against you the other day. viewtopic.php?f=74&t=542#p26826
Then you offer up this post:
Ravebomb wrote:Vote for me ONLY if you want to hand this game to the Network.
I have sucked this game. Nobody is disputing this.
As I mentioned yesterday, my methodology involves listening to everyone, then discarding that and picking people on a whim.
I have a basic and unassuming self defensive vote reduction power, if you're going to kill me today, make sure you do it hard enough to make me stay down. It'll ruin vote analysis in future days, but that won't matter, since the game will end upon my death.
Right now I'm not sure if Hellheart and ICB are staging a fight for our benefit or not. There is the one game from the distant past where two wolves went off on each other HARD and as such ran the game.
The part in bold is a wolf trying to get a massive bandwagon on himself so other wolves can hide. Just go check the vote tally results from Necklessone and see if there's any evidence of "defensive vote reduction":
Day 1: RaveBomb : 4 : Meta4, Simple_Simon, 7-zark-7, Ryvvn
Day 4: RaveBomb : 2 : Smirker, 7-zark-7
Day 5: RaveBomb : 2 : Blindsniper83, twdog
Day 9: RaveBomb : 1 : San
4) My vote for Smirker was more of a poke than anything else, I've had ravebomb in my sights for a few days now. But I was very
worried that Smirker was converted last night. If I was a wolf, I think I'd be more likely to convert a reloading vig than the GA. Especially a vig with such strong human cred. With the new information about the other forum, I'm not worried about him or sphenodont.
So in my own mind, From most to least likely Replicants:
FurinMirado <> Visigothian
AntipaterTLDR: Ravebomb and Stigmata are likely replicants. Smirker and Antipater are very strong human, Iron Clad Burrito and sphenodont are also very likely human. I think FurinMirado and Visigoth are middle of the road.
Charming, to the last.