Modifying's your list, Hellheart, with my own musings.
I'm not sure how to lean on Aldax and Antipater. I figure one each is in MEM and meta4's team, but I'm not sure which is in which. Blindsniper is almost certainly the nutjob, based on his incredibly odd behavior and due to being the only human to share the bandwagon with the wolves on Day 2. We know Furin's a vigilante, now, so that rules him out of MEM's group.
Everything else seems to match what we know and can speculate.
I've also lined through the people who are permadead, so we can track the 'score' here. Shockingly even, but this discounts conversion shuffling, not that there's likely to be much of it.Unaffiliated/Psychopath
- Okaros (Psychopath Wolf)
- Blindsniper (Probably THE Nutjob)
- Admetus (Vigilante)
- FurinMirado (Vigilante)
- Antipater or Aldax
- Ryvvn (speculated)
- Aldax or Antipater
- That PJ
On Day 1, Ravebomb and Admetus were sent on vacation. We know Admetus is an unaligned vigilante. We suspect Ravebomb to be in the MEM pack. That would mean they had a conversion opportunity on Night 2.
On Day 2, we lost stigmata, dferrantino was shot, and Ryvvn sent packing. The Vampirians chose to wait on their conversion, and stigmata-pack recruited That PJ on Night 3. The meta4-spheno pack would also have a conversion, if suspicions about Ryvvn are correct.
- That PJ (Night 3, Stigmata's Team)
- One of MaxFrost, simple_simon, and Hellheart (Night 2, MEM's team)
- Someone unknown, if successful (Night 3, meta4-spheno's team)
- One conversion remains for dferrantino's team. Currently reported at 37% likely to fail.
PJ's general resignation towards fate is good enough. -Okaros
Then he went and shot himself, saved me and got himself lynched because of it. You magnificent fool! -Mister E. Meat